{"id":1930,"date":"2021-12-22T10:04:25","date_gmt":"2021-12-22T10:04:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.origo-reality.cz\/blog\/?p=1930"},"modified":"2021-12-22T10:04:25","modified_gmt":"2021-12-22T10:04:25","slug":"ochladi-zvysene-urokove-sazby-prazsky-realitni-trh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.origo-reality.cz\/blog\/penize\/ochladi-zvysene-urokove-sazby-prazsky-realitni-trh\/","title":{"rendered":"Ochlad\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby pra\u017esk\u00fd realitn\u00ed trh?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed cena nemovitost\u00ed je u n\u00e1s pravideln\u00fdm a vd\u011b\u010dn\u00fdm t\u00e9matem hlavn\u00edch zpravodajsk\u00fdch relac\u00ed. A nen\u00ed divu. Ceny nov\u00fdch i star\u0161\u00edch byt\u016f neust\u00e1le stoupaj\u00ed a ve vybran\u00fdch regionech je n\u00e1r\u016fst ceny vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed meziro\u010dn\u011b i o 20 procent. Praha nyn\u00ed nel\u00e1me rekordy, co se t\u00fd\u010de procentu\u00e1ln\u00edho n\u00e1r\u016fstu. Ale pokud se zam\u011b\u0159\u00edme na p\u0159epo\u010det absolutn\u00ed ceny za metr \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00ed, dr\u017e\u00ed si svou prvn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dku bezkonkure\u010dn\u011b, a to dlouhodob\u011b.<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d jsou ceny byt\u016f v\u00a0Praze nevy\u0161\u0161\u00ed<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u017de jsou byty v\u00a0Praze nejdra\u017e\u0161\u00ed v\u00a0republice, dnes nikoho nep\u0159ekvap\u00ed. Praha se v\u0161ak pomalu \u0159ad\u00ed i k\u00a0dra\u017e\u0161\u00edm evropsk\u00fdm metropol\u00edm. D\u00e1vno p\u0159edstihla Bratislavu, Budape\u0161\u0165 \u010di Var\u0161avu. M\u011bsta ze st\u0159edn\u00ed \u010di v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropy. To asi nen\u00ed velk\u00fdm p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm. Nyn\u00ed se v\u0161ak v\u00a0cen\u00e1ch vyrovn\u00e1 nap\u0159\u00edklad i Madridu \u010di Lisabonu a na dohled m\u00e1 V\u00edde\u0148 s\u00a0Berl\u00ednem.<\/p>\n

Investice do vlastn\u00edho bydlen\u00ed je pova\u017eov\u00e1na za jednu z\u00a0nejlep\u0161\u00edch. A tak cenu byt\u016f v\u00a0Praze<\/a> \u017eene nahoru zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 popt\u00e1vka, kter\u00e1 je nyn\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b podpo\u0159en\u00e1 levn\u00fdmi hypot\u00e9kami. O byty maj\u00ed z\u00e1jem nejen mlad\u00e9 rodiny s d\u011btmi, ale tak\u00e9 \u0159ada investor\u016f. A v\u00a0Praze je pod\u00edl zejm\u00e9na zahrani\u010dn\u00edch investor\u016f pom\u011brn\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00fd. Po\u010det tzv. investi\u010dn\u00edch byt\u016f loni odhalila pandemie Covidu-19. Zastaven\u00fd cestovn\u00ed ruch toti\u017e zv\u00fd\u0161il na inzertn\u00edch port\u00e1lech nab\u00eddky pron\u00e1jm\u016f men\u0161\u00edch pra\u017esk\u00fdch byt\u016f o deset tis\u00edc. Jak asi spr\u00e1vn\u011b tu\u0161\u00edte, \u0161lo o byty, kter\u00e9 byly p\u0159ed pandemi\u00ed bez probl\u00e9m\u016f pronaj\u00edm\u00e1ny prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Airbnb. Pro prodej t\u011bchto byt\u016f se v\u0161ak rozhodlo pouze minimum majitel\u016f.<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d popt\u00e1vka p\u0159evy\u0161uje nab\u00eddku<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Aby ceny rostly, mus\u00ed aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed popt\u00e1vka p\u0159evy\u0161ovat nab\u00eddku. Pro\u010d nen\u00ed v\u00a0Praze nab\u00eddka dostate\u010dn\u00e1? Zde je vysv\u011btlen\u00ed. Do Prahy se ro\u010dn\u011b p\u0159ist\u011bhuje asi 10 a\u017e 15 tis\u00edc lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed mus\u00ed n\u011bkde bydlet. Nov\u00fdch byt\u016f se v\u0161ak ro\u010dn\u011b dokon\u010d\u00ed pouze kolem 4 tis\u00edc. To vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed velk\u00fd deficit. A to ka\u017edoro\u010dn\u011b a ji\u017e \u0159adu let.<\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det obyvatel v\u00a0metropoli ji\u017e p\u0159ekro\u010dil 1,5 milionu a to p\u0159esto\u017ee statistici nad\u00e1le ud\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee Praha m\u00e1 1\u00a0320\u00a0000 obyvatel. Studie zalo\u017een\u00e1 na datech telefonn\u00edch oper\u00e1tor\u016f toti\u017e uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee v\u00a0Praze (alespo\u0148 od pond\u011bl\u00ed do p\u00e1tku) \u017eije na 1\u00a0550\u00a0000 st\u00e1l\u00fdch obyvatel. Mnoz\u00ed z\u00a0t\u011bch, kdo se re\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159ist\u011bhuj\u00ed, si v\u00a0Praze nenahl\u00e1s\u00ed trval\u00e9 bydli\u0161t\u011b. Nemluv\u011b o studentech. \u201eZejm\u00e9na mlad\u00ed lid\u00e9 si \u010dasto nech\u00e1vaj\u00ed trval\u00e9 bydli\u0161t\u011b u rodi\u010d\u016f, dokud si v\u00a0Praze byt jen pronaj\u00edmaj\u00ed. Teprve p\u0159i koupi bytu se st\u011bhuj\u00ed do Prahy i \u00fa\u0159edn\u011b\u201c, komentuje u\u017e l\u00e9ta trvaj\u00edc\u00ed situaci Martin Satar z\u00a0TIDE REALITY<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Bude cena byt\u016f klesat?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Vzhledem k\u00a0v\u00fd\u0161e popsan\u00e9mu deficitu, nelze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee p\u016fjdou ceny byt\u016f v Praze dol\u016f. Pokud se za\u010dne v\u00edce stav\u011bt, m\u016f\u017ee se pouze zpomalit cenov\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst. A \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 m\u011bsto, ani Praha, nen\u00ed nafukovac\u00ed, je zde tedy omezen\u00fd po\u010det stavebn\u00edch pozemk\u016f, kter\u00fd (i kdyby develope\u0159i sebev\u00edc cht\u011bli) neumo\u017en\u00ed postavit ro\u010dn\u011b desetitis\u00edce nov\u00fdch byt\u016f. Zat\u00edm tedy v\u0161e nazna\u010duje, \u017ee i nad\u00e1le bude popt\u00e1vka p\u0159evy\u0161ovat nab\u00eddku. Ale situace se snad za\u010dne pomalu zlep\u0161ovat.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0Praze se aktu\u00e1ln\u011b stav\u00ed n\u011bkolik velik\u00fdch reziden\u010dn\u00edch projekt\u016f<\/a> s\u00a0term\u00ednem dokon\u010den\u00ed v\u00a0roce 2024. Jde nap\u0159\u00edklad o atraktivn\u00ed lokalitu na \u017di\u017ekov\u011b v\u00a0are\u00e1lu b\u00fdval\u00e9ho n\u00e1kladov\u00e9ho n\u00e1dra\u017e\u00ed, Sm\u00edchov City v\u00a0Praze 5 a n\u011bkolik projekt\u016f ve Vyso\u010danech a Hloub\u011bt\u00edn\u011b, jako je t\u0159eba Tesla Hloub\u011bt\u00edn. Jde o v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed projekty, kde se dohromady postav\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e 2000 byt\u016f. Ani zde nenajdeme levn\u00e9 byty. V\u00a0pra\u017esk\u00e9m Hloub\u011bt\u00edn\u011b po\u0159\u00edd\u00edte byt 2+kk za 6,5-7 milion\u016f korun a garsoni\u00e9ru za 4,6-5 milion\u016f. Cena 3+kk pak p\u0159evy\u0161uje cenu rodinn\u00e9ho domu na okraji okresn\u00edho m\u011bsta.<\/p>\n

Ale proto\u017ee rostou i samotn\u00e9 ceny stavebn\u00edch materi\u00e1l\u016f a ceny pr\u00e1ce, mus\u00ed se i tyto vstupy prom\u00edtnout v\u00a0kone\u010dn\u00e9 cen\u011b bytu. Pokles cen tedy patrn\u011b \u010dekat nelze.<\/p>\n

Ovlivn\u00ed cenu byt\u016f zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb ze strany \u010cNB?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Popt\u00e1vku po vlastn\u00edm bydlen\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee lehce oslabit \u010cesk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed banka. A u\u010dinila k\u00a0tomu prvn\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 kroky, kdy\u017e v\u00a0uplynul\u00fdch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch zah\u00e1jila navy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby. V\u00a0listopadu dokonce p\u0159ekvapila rekordn\u00edm nav\u00fd\u0161en\u00edm o 1,25 procentn\u00edho bodu.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e1 sazba je siln\u00fd n\u00e1stroj \u010cNB, kter\u00fd se s\u00a0odstupem \u010dasu prom\u00edtne prakticky do v\u0161ech oblast\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky. Nejrychleji se v\u0161ak projev\u00ed v\u00a0\u00faro\u010den\u00ed komer\u010dn\u00edch \u00fav\u011br\u016f i hypot\u00e9k. Pomalu kon\u010d\u00ed obdob\u00ed, kdy \u0161lo p\u0159i \u0161ikovn\u00e9 fixaci z\u00edskat na hypot\u00e9ce \u00farok za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed dvojkou. Ji\u017e p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 \u00farokov\u00e1 m\u00edra hypot\u00e9\u010dn\u00edch \u00fav\u011br\u016f p\u0159ekro\u010d\u00ed 4 procenta.<\/p>\n

Ani to v\u0161ak nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt pro pra\u017esk\u00fd realitn\u00ed trh katastrofou. \u201ePokud se r\u016fst cen zm\u00edrn\u00ed anebo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zastav\u00ed, realitn\u00edmu trhu to jen prosp\u011bje. D\u00edky pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edmu r\u016fstu mezd by v\u00a0bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti znovu mohlo na vlastn\u00ed byt dos\u00e1hnout v\u00edce rodin. Pokud by ceny d\u00e1l rostly sou\u010dasn\u00fdm tempem na \u00farovni 20 %, mohlo by naopak doj\u00edt k\u00a0p\u0159eh\u0159\u00e1t\u00ed a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9mu poklesu cen. Zpomalen\u00ed r\u016fstu cen te\u010f naopak m\u016f\u017ee trhu pomoci naj\u00edt novou rovnov\u00e1\u017enou \u00farove\u0148<\/a>\u201c, dopl\u0148uje Pavel Velebil, jednatel spole\u010dnosti TIDE REALITY.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed cena nemovitost\u00ed je u n\u00e1s pravideln\u00fdm a vd\u011b\u010dn\u00fdm t\u00e9matem hlavn\u00edch zpravodajsk\u00fdch relac\u00ed. A nen\u00ed divu. Ceny nov\u00fdch i star\u0161\u00edch byt\u016f neust\u00e1le stoupaj\u00ed a ve vybran\u00fdch regionech je n\u00e1r\u016fst ceny vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed meziro\u010dn\u011b i o 20 procent. Praha nyn\u00ed nel\u00e1me rekordy, co se t\u00fd\u010de procentu\u00e1ln\u00edho n\u00e1r\u016fstu. Ale pokud se zam\u011b\u0159\u00edme na p\u0159epo\u010det absolutn\u00ed ceny za metr […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1931,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[173],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1930","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-penize"],"yoast_head":"\nOchlad\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby pra\u017esk\u00fd realitn\u00ed trh? - Origo-reality blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.origo-reality.cz\/blog\/penize\/ochladi-zvysene-urokove-sazby-prazsky-realitni-trh\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ochlad\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby pra\u017esk\u00fd realitn\u00ed trh? - Origo-reality blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed cena nemovitost\u00ed je u n\u00e1s pravideln\u00fdm a vd\u011b\u010dn\u00fdm t\u00e9matem hlavn\u00edch zpravodajsk\u00fdch relac\u00ed. 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